Saturday, 20 April 2013

The Bahrain Grand Prix: Sakhir Post-Qualifying Tips

Formula 1 Tips For The Bahrain Grand Prix

Qualifying threw up a few surprises with Nico Rosberg taking pole by over quarter of a second.  Vettel and Alonso line up behind him with Raikkonen and Hamilton back in 8th and 9th, so it promises to be another interesting Grand Prix tomorrow.

Here are my tips...

Race Winner:
10 points eachway* (20 points total) on Nico Rosberg at 8.0
At each of the previous five Bahrain Grand Prix, Nico has finished the race in the position he's started from so he'll be hoping to continue that trend in tomorrow's race.  Although Nico's results so far this season haven't been quite what he would have hoped, that's largely been down to reliability issues (and team orders) rather than a lack of pace.  His impressive qualifying lap suggests the potential is there, but the Mercedes' race pace wasn't quite a match for it's one lap speed at China, so with Vettel and Alonso behind Rosberg on the grid I'm going to minimise the risk by making this an eachway bet.

* SkyBet pay 1/5 the odds for first 3 places.

20 points on Sebastian Vettel at 1.44
Considering that Lewis Hamilton was the fourth fastest driver during qualifying I was tempted to go for a speculative bet on Lewis at odds of 8.0 to make up places during the race and record his third consecutive podium.  In the end though, given the fact that he doesn't appear to be overly happy with his car, I think a podium might just be a bit too much to ask for Lewis, so I've decided to play it cautious and go for a fairly safe bet on Sebastian Vettel.

Top Six Finish:
20 points on Lewis Hamilton at 2.1
Lewis wasn't as quick as team-mate Nico Rosberg in Q3, but his time of 1:32.762 would still have been fast enough for 4th on the grid if not for his five place grid penalty.  He starts from 9th but in modern formula 1 grid position isn't the be all and end all that it used to be, so a top six position looks very achievable for Lewis and very tempting at odds of 2.1.

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To Finish In The Points (Top Ten Finish):
20 points on Nico Hulkenberg at 2.25
Hulkenberg didn't manage to start the Australian Grand Prix, but since then he's made it into the lower end of the top ten at both the Malaysian and Chinese Grand Prix.

Lap 1 Retirements:
10 points on Lap 1 Retirements - None at 1.5

The odds are fairly skinny, but so far this season we've seen a noticeable lack of incidents on the opening lap, with Fernando Alonso's retirement at the Malaysian Grand Prix the nearest we've had to a first lap retirement.

Match Bets:
10 point accumulator on:
Di Resta V Sutil - Di Resta at 1.73
Alonso V Vettel - Vettel at 2.2
Raikkonen V Rosberg - Rosberg at 1.91

You can find my pre-qualifying tips for the Bahrain Grand Prix at the following link:
The Bahrain Grand Prix: Sakhir Pre-Qualifying Tips

As usual I'll report back after the Grand Prix on how my two sets of tips compare.

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Odds were current at time of publication but are subject to change.

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