Wednesday, 21 November 2012

Brazilian Grand Prix: Interlagos Pre-Quaifying Tips

Formula 1 Tips For The Brazilian Grand Prix

Every Grand Prix weekend I give myself 100 points and place a few hypothetical bets using the odds available from and see how I do.  In general I always like to wait until after qualifying before placing my bets, so to test whether that's the best strategy or not, I'll make some tips before and after qualifying and see which set of tips do best.

I would add a note of caution to keep an eye on the weather forecast for Sunday's race, as a wet race will of course add a degree of unpredictability to things making all betting markets harder to predict.  Anyway, here are my pre-qualifying tips...

Race Winner:
10 points on Lewis Hamilton at 3.75
Lewis Hamilton and Sebastian Vettel looked to be the class of the field in the US, so you have to fancy them to contest things again in Brazil.  Lewis just had the edge on Sunday and with Vettel being focussed on the championship he'll be primarily concerned with finishing ahead of Alonso and therefore unlikely to want to take too many risks battling for the lead.  I'm therefore edging slightly towards Lewis Hamilton at odds of 3.75.

To Finish In The Points (Top Ten Finish):
20 points on Daniel Ricciardo at 3.5
A poor qualifying session hindered his chances at the US Grand Prix, but Ricciardo has nevertheless managed 5 top ten finishes from the last 8 Grand Prix and therefore looks decent value for a points scoring finish at Interlagos at odds of 3.5.

Top Six Finish:
20 points on Kimi Raikkonen at 1.4
Kimi has been the master of consistency this season and has now finished in the top six at 11 of the last 12 Grand Prix.

To Finish On The Podium:
20 points on Mark Webber at 3.0
Mark has gone well at Brazil in recent years (winning in 2009 and 2011, and finishing second in 2010) so he clearly likes the Interlagos track.  A retirement ruined his chances of a possible podium in Austin so there's a slight question mark over reliability, but at odds of 3.0 Webber looks a reasonable bet for another podium on Sunday. 

To Qualify On The Front Row:
10 points on Lewis Hamilton at 1.67
McLaren have a fast car at the moment and Lewis is putting it to good use having qualified on the front row at the previous two Grand Prix.  Hamilton looked very impressive from the in car camera view of his qualifying lap at the United States GP so I fancy him to have another strong qualifying session in Brazil.

Grand Prix Winning Margin:
10 points on Under 6 Seconds at 2.0
Less than a second separated Lewis Hamilton and Sebastian Vettel at the United States Grand Prix and with teams having only a few days to work on updates for their cars, you would expect things to be close at the front once again at the Brazilian Grand Prix.  If he's leading, Sebastian Vettel usually likes to press hard during the final laps to try to get the fastest lap, but should he be leading on Sunday it seems likely that with the championship at stake he'll be more inclined to manage the gap to the finish line rather than take any unnecessary risks.

Qualifying Winning Margin:
10 points on Under 0.25 Seconds at 1.73
Three of the last four qualifying sessions have been settled by less than 0.15 seconds, so with SkyBet increasing their usual margin in this market from 0.15 seconds to 0.25 seconds, it seems worth a small bet on things being close at the front of the grid once again.

As already mentioned, I'll reassess things after qualifying and offer another selection of tips, and then see how my predictions compare. 

Disclaimer:  A small bet can make a formula 1 race more exciting but gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with a free bet, so if you'd like the chance to claim a totally free £10 bet then sign up to SkyBet today using the banner link below:

Footnote: All odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

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