Sunday, 4 November 2012

The Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Yas Marina Post-Qualifying Tips

Formula 1 Tips For The Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

Every Grand Prix weekend I give myself 100 points and place a few hypothetical bets using the odds available from and see how I do.  In general I always like to wait until after qualifying before placing my bets, so to test whether that's the best strategy or not, I place a selection of tips before and after qualifying and see which set of tips do best.

You can find my pre-qualifying tips here:

And here are my post-qualifying tips... 

Lap 1 Leader:
10 points on Mark Webber at 6.0
Lewis Hamilton's starts haven't been that great in recent races, so although Mark Webber admittedly hasn't always been an amazing starter himself, odds of 6.0 look a little generous and therefore I'm going to go for a small punt on Mark Webber in the Lap 1 Leader market.

To Finish On The Podium:
20 points on Kimi Raikkonen at 2.63
Kimi was talking up his chances of a strong race in his post-qualifying interviews and seems confident that he has the pace to fight the Red Bulls (meaning Mark Webber now that Vettel is starting from the pit-lane).  There's no escaping the fact that the Lotus' lack of straight-line speed has meant that Kimi hasn't been a great over-taker this season, but nevertheless starting from fourth a podium finish looks within Kimi's capabilities.

To Win Outright: 
10 points on Mark Webber at 4.0 
Lewis had a margin of over three tenths of a second in qualifying but given his reliability issues in recent races he still looks a risky bet at odds of 1.5 for the victory.  Mark Webber generally goes well when he starts from the front row of the grid (his five front row starts this season have yielded two victories and four podiums), so I'm going to go for a small bet at odds of 4.0 on Webber for the victory.

To Win (Eachway Bet):
10 points on Pastor Maldonado at 34.0
Pastor Maldonado has been praising his Williams all weekend and backed it up with a strong performance in qualifying.   Despite his victory in Spain earlier in the season, realistically he has to be considered an outsider for the victory, but odds of 34.0 make an eachway bet look worth a small punt.

Top Six Finish:
20 points on Fernando Alonso at 1.29
As you'd expect, Fernando Alonso's odds for a top six finish are understandably short, but he consistently makes up places during the race so I'm going to go play it safe in this market with a bet of 20 points on Alonso.
To Finish In The Points (Top Ten Finish): 
20 points on Bruno Senna at 2.63
Pastor Maldonado showed in qualifying that there's pace in the Williams, so despite Bruno Senna's poor grid slot, he has a car which should be capable of making up a few places in the race.  Senna has proven on previous occasions this season that he tends to race better than he qualifies, so I'm therefore going to back him for a points finish at odds of 2.63. 

Not To Be Classified:
10 points on Sebastian Vettel at 4.5
Throughout his career in formula 1, Sebastian Vettel has shown that he's far more comfortable racing from the front than he is having to fight his way through the pack.  Perhaps this is understandable as Vettel is very much used to starting from the front and therefore doesn't get much practise at overtaking!  An eventful qualifying could therefore lead to an eventful race so while the Not To Be Classified market always involves a higher element of risk, on this occasion a small bet seems worth a punt.

* N.B. If a driver retires within five laps of the finish they would still be classified.

As already mentioned, I also placed a few hypothetical points bets before qualifying so I'll report back after tomorrow's race and see how the two sets of bets compare. 

Disclaimer:  A small bet can make a formula 1 race more exciting but gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with a free bet, so if you'd like the chance to claim a totally free £10 bet then sign up to SkyBet today using the banner link below:

Footnote: All odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

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