Tuesday, 23 October 2012

The Indian Grand Prix: New Delhi Pre-Qualifying Tips

Formula 1 Tips For The Indian Grand Prix

Every Grand Prix weekend I give myself 100 points and place a few hypothetical bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com and see how I do.  In general I always like to wait until after qualifying before placing my bets, so to test whether that's the best strategy or not, I'll make some tips before and after qualifying and see which set of tips do best. 

To Finish In The Points (Top Ten Finish):
20 points on Daniel Ricciardo at 3.5
Toro Rosso's steady improvement in form throughout the season seems to have gone unnoticed by the bookies, so given that Ricciardo has achieved a points scoring finish at four of the last five Grand Prix he looks to be generously priced at odds of 3.5.

Retire On First Lap:
10 points on Romain Grosjean at 23.0
Given his well publicised first lap troubles I was surprised to see SkyBet offering odds of 23.0 for Grosjean to retire on the first lap, so this one has to be worth a small bet.

Top Six Finish:
20 points on Kimi Raikkonen at 1.53
Given that Kimi has finished in the top six at each and every one of the last nine Grand Prix, he has to look a solid bet to record another top six finish at this weekend's Indian Grand Prix.

To Win Outright: 
15 points on Mark Webber at 8.0
With three successive victories Sebastian Vettel is understandably the even money favourite, but I prefer to take a bit more of a gamble and look for bigger odds when betting on the outright winner.  Among the rest of the field Mark Webber (given the current strength of the Red Bull) and Lewis Hamilton are the two that stand out but considering Hamilton's recent reliability issues I'm therefore going to go for a small bet on Mark Webber at odds of 8.0.

To Finish On The Podium:
10 points on Sergio Perez at 11.0
Fernando Alonso has been Mr Consistent in the podium market this season (8 of the last 12 Grand Prix have seen Alonso finish on the podium), so he has to be worth considering even at odds as short as 1.83.  However, I'm also tempted by the odds of 11.0 which SkyBet offer on Sergio Perez.  Admittedly, he's been a bit accident prone in recent races but that could be down to trying too hard to impress new employers McLaren, and if he settles down and drives a more composed race then Perez is always a decent outside bet for a podium.  Given that Alonso tends to qualify unremarkably, his odds are therefore likely to drift out slightly after qualifying, so post-qualifying would seem to be the time to bet on Alonso.  At this stage I'm therefore going to go for the more risky bet on Sergio Perez rather than the safer option of Fernando Alonso.

Fastest Qualifier:
25 points on Mark Webber at 5.0
Sebastian Vettel is the man in form at the moment during the race, but when it comes to qualifying he has in fact only managed pole position at one of the last eight Grand Prix.  He therefore looks a risky bet at odds of only 1.8.  Once again I'm torn between Lewis Hamilton and Mark Webber, but the fact that Mark has put it on the front row at both of the last two races tips the scales in his favour so I'm going to go for Mark Webber for pole at odds of 5.0.

As already mentioned, I'll reassess things after qualifying and offer another selection of tips, and then see how my predictions compare.

Disclaimer:  A small bet can make a formula 1 race more exciting but gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with a free bet, so if you'd like the chance to claim a totally free £10 bet then sign up to SkyBet today using the banner link below:


Footnote: All odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

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