Tuesday, 2 October 2012

The Japanese Grand Prix: Suzuka Pre-Qualifying Tips

Formula 1 Tips For The Japanese Grand Prix

Every Grand Prix weekend I give myself 100 points and place a few hypothetical bets using the odds available from OLBG.com and see how I do.  In general I always like to wait until after qualifying before placing my bets, so to test whether that's the best strategy or not, I'll make some tips before and after qualifying and see which set of tips do best.

To Win Outright:
35 points on Lewis Hamilton at 3.25
Reliability seems to be McLaren's one weak point at the moment, but they remain the team in form.  Like Spa, Suzuka is a circuit with high speed challenging corners and one which the drivers love, and with team-mate Jenson having to take a five slot grid penalty, Lewis looks to be the man to beat at this weekend's Japanese Grand Prix.

To Win Outright (Eachway):
20 points on Jenson Button at 8.5
Jenson has a five slot grid penalty this weekend due to an enforced gearbox change, so a bet for the outright win looks a touch optimistic.  But given how well McLaren are going at the moment added to Jenson's impressive drive at Suzuka last year, I still think a small eachway bet is worth a punt.

To Finish On The Podium:
15 points on Sergio Perez at 7.0
Sergio has put in some excellent performances this season, so it was no surprise when McLaren signed him up as Lewis' replacement for next year.  With three podiums from fourteen Grand Prix, Perez doesn't yet have the consistency to justify a bet on the outright win, but a small bet on a podium looks a decent option.

To Finish In The Points (Top Ten Finish):
20 points on Nico Rosberg at 1.66
Nico has finished in the points at eight of the last ten Grand Prix and so looks a generous bet at odds of 1.66 for a top ten finish.

Fastest Lap:
10 points on Michael Schumacher at 15.0
Fastest lap is always a bit of a gamble with no driver having dominated the market this year.  Michael Schumacher will perhaps have a point to prove after being replaced for next season by Lewis Hamilton, and therefore looks as good a bet as any at odds of 15.0 for the fastest lap.

As already mentioned, I'll reassess things after qualifying and offer another selection of tips, and then see how my predictions compare.

Disclaimer:  A small bet can make a formula 1 race more exciting but the unpredictable nature of the sport mean that having a large bet is just stupid.  Gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with points rather than pounds, so if you'd like the chance to gamble risk-free with points for the chance to win cash prizes then a website worth visiting is OLBG.com.  It's free to sign up and they offer cash prizes for the most successful punters in various sporting categories.  If you'd like to check it out then click on the link below:
Bet with points for the chance to win cash prizes at OLBG.com

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