German Grand Prix: Bet In Play Odds

The bet in play odds for the leading contenders during the German Grand Prix

The German Grand Prix gave us an exciting battle between Sebastian Vettel and the Lotus drivers, and, with the exception of Vettel, the odds of the leading contenders saw quite a bit of movement during the race, with six drivers priced at less than 20/1 at one time or another during the Grand Prix.

This is the chart which shows the bet in play odds throughout the race:

German Grand Prix: Round-Up

"I’m happy the race wasn’t two or three laps longer, as Kimi was a bit quicker towards the end." ...Sebastian Vettel

After a season which has seen the majority of Grand Prix won by reasonably comfortable margins, the Nurburgring provided the closest finish yet, with the top four separated by less than eight seconds at the chequered flag.  As late as lap 47 SkyBet were still offering odds of 1.67 on a winning margin of Under 6.5 Seconds so that's one 'bet in play' market worth keeping an eye on at future Grand Prix.

My longer priced post-qualifying tips managed to sneak the narrowest of profits thanks to my accumulator, but other than that in my other bets it was a case of too many near misses, with Fernando Alonso for a podium, Paul di Resta to finish in the points, and Mark Webber to qualify on the front row all missing out by a single place.  For the Hungarian Grand Prix in three weeks' time, I may therefore try a new format for the blog, but in the mean time here's a brief summary of how I got on...

Post-Qualifying:

Taking A Risk/Longer Priced Bets:

My eachway bet on Mark Webber was doomed after Mark's first pitstop, but as Christian Horner says, "The most important thing today is that the cameraman who got struck by the tyre does not appear to have suffered any life threatening injuries."  As already mentioned, my accumulator bet was a winning bet thanks to Paul di Resta, Jenson Button and Kimi Raikkonen all finishing ahead of their team-mates...

Match Bets:
30 point accumulator on:  WIN - 101 points
Paul di Resta V Adrian Sutil - Paul di Resta at 1.62
Jenson Button V Sergio Perez - Jenson Button at 1.57
Kimi Raikkonen V Romain Grosjean - Kimi Raikkonen at 1.33

The German Grand Prix: Nurburgring Post-Qualifying Tips

"It's a little bit of an understatement to say that we have mixed emotions after qualifying." ...Ross Brawn

Once again it was a battle between Mercedes and Red Bull for pole, but the higher temperatures seemed to suit Lotus and Ferrari who weren't too far off the pace and overall things looks well balanced for an exciting race.

Fernando Alonso commented, "It is about the pace tomorrow - not the tyres or the strategy," but if we get a few cars closely matched for pace then strategy could still be the deciding factor.  I personally think Ferrari's strategy of qualifying on the medium tyres could prove to be a shrewd move, but it remains to be seen just how things will play out.

Here are my post-qualifying tips for the German Grand Prix...

Shorter Priced Bets:

Podium Finish:
20 points on Fernando Alonso at 2.5 (BetFred)
Ferrari took a bit of a gamble in qualifying by running medium tyres in Q3 and as a result they qualified 7th and 8th.  However, grid position isn't as crucial in modern formula 1 as it was in years gone by and you don't win any points on a Saturday, so it may ultimately prove to be a wise decision by Ferrari to focus on the race.  Alonso goes into this race with three podiums from the last four Grand Prix and on each of those occasions he started 5th, 6th and 9th and has proven to be a driver who consistently makes up places during the races.

The German Grand Prix: Nurburgring Pre-Qualifying Tips

Formula 1 Tips For The German Grand Prix

Yesterday I listed some of the most profitable formula 1 bets of the 2013 season, and also the safest bets, in various formula 1 betting markets.  Today I'm going to see how I get on against the form guide by making a set of pre-qualifying tips and then follow this up on Saturday evening with a set of post-qualifying tips.

As usual I'm going to split my tips into a selection of shorter priced bets and also a selection of longer priced more risky bets.

Since I started splitting my tips I've had mixed fortunes, with decent returns at Spain and Monaco but poor results at Canada and Silverstone.  If you prefer to pay more attention to the form guide than my own predictions (which may be wise on current form!) then you can find the formula 1 betting form guide at the following link:
German Grand Prix: The Top Bets By The Form Guide

Anyway, here are my predictions for the German Grand Prix... 

Shorter Priced Bets:

Qualify On Front Row:
20 points on Lewis Hamilton at 1.44 (SkyBet)
Given that Lewis has qualified on the front row for the last four Grand Prix now, you can understand why the bookies price him so short.  Mercedes team-mate Nico Rosberg is priced similarly short (at odds of 1.53) and with four front row finishes from the last five qualifying sessions he's also worth considering, but Lewis is the driver I'm going for.

Qualifying Winning Margin:
20 points on 0.15 Seconds Or More at 1.67 (SkyBet)
It's fairly competitive at the front of the field between Mercedes and Red Bull right now, but the average qualifying winning margin in 2013 has been 0.39 and only two qualifying sessions this season have seen a front row separated by less than 0.15 seconds.

German Grand Prix: The Top Bets By The Form Guide

Formula 1 Betting By Numbers

As there's only one week between the British and German Grand Prix, I haven't had a chance to provide the usual detailed driver by driver analysis of each formula 1 betting market, so instead I'm just going to post an overall summary showing details of the most profitable bets, and also the safest bets, in some of the most popular formula 1 betting markets.

Based on the statistics from the first eight Grand Prix of the season, as we head to the Nurburgring the best bets so far have been...