Wednesday, 2 October 2013

The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 5 - Miscellaneous Bets

Formula 1 Betting By Numbers

Today I'm going to round-off my analysis of the formula 1 form guide by covering a few miscellaneous betting markets such as fastest lap, fastest qualifier, etc.

The following form guide charts are based on the last six races with the statistics weighted in favour of recent results by applying the following multipliers for each Grand Prix: Britain 16.7%, Germany 33.3%, Hungary 50%, Belgium 66.7%, Italy 83.3% and Singapore 100%.

Fastest Lap:

First up, here's the form guide for the fastest lap:

Fastest LapProfit*Winning Bet
Sebastian Vettel1.832
Lewis Hamilton1.501
Mark Webber1.332
Fernando Alonso-0.171
Rest Of The Field-3.500

Please note, even in the few days before first practise, the odds can sometimes vary slightly, so I've generally tried to take the odds a few days before each Grand Prix as soon as the market opened.

There's perhaps a bigger element of luck to fastest lap betting than with most other formula 1 markets, but the Red Bull pairing of Vettel and Webber have 4 fastest laps between them from the last 6 Grand Prix and 8 fastest laps all season.

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Fastest Qualifier:

Next up is the form guide for 'Pole Position', which some bookies refer to as 'Fastest Q3 Qualifying Time':

Fastest QualifierProfitWinning Bet
Sebastian Vettel1.622
Lewis Hamilton1.424
Rest Of The Field-3.500

You have to go back as far as Monaco to find the last time a driver other than Lewis Hamilton and Sebastian Vettel was on pole position.  Hamilton and Vettel have had five pole positions each this season, but based on Monza and Singapore the pendulum seems to have recently swung in Vettel's favour.

Winning Margin:

Most bookies also offer a market on the Winning Margin of each Grand Prix and at SkyBet they go with 6 seconds as the dividing line:

Winning MarginProfitWinning Bet
6 Seconds Or More0.203
Under 6 Seconds -0.673

Sebastian Vettel produced the most dominant winning performance of the season at Singapore, with a massive margin of 32.6 seconds to Fernando Alonso in second place.  Over the course of the season though, the races have been somewhat closer with the average winning margin for 2013 standing at 10.05 seconds, and the average winning margin over the last six races standing at 11.23 seconds.


Safety Car:

The current statistics for Safety Car betting are as follows:

Safety CarProfitWinning Bet

Each of the six Grand Prix to be staged at Singapore has featured a safety car, but in the context of the current season that was only the fourth Grand Prix this year when the safety car was called into action.

Winning Team:

Finally, here's the current form guide for Winning Team:

Winning TeamProfitWinning Bet
Red Bull2.834
Rest Of The Field-3.500

As you'd expect given Sebastian Vettel's current strong form, Red Bull top the Winning Team form chart, with Mercedes the only other team to have claimed a victory in the last six Grand Prix.

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Related posts:
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 2 - Podium Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 3 - Top Six Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 4 - Top Ten Finish

SkyBet are currently offering a completely free £10 bet for any new customer who signs up for a new SkyBet account, so if you fancy a free bet on the Korean Grand Prix then check out the link below:

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