Saturday, 28 September 2013

The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver

Formula 1 Betting By Numbers

In the build-up to the Korean Grand Prix I've analysed the latest formula 1 results to produce various form guide charts showing the most profitable formula 1 bets, and also the safest bets, so far this season.

Below you can find the charts for the 'Winning Driver' betting market and over the next few days I'll also be covering a few other betting markets such as Podium Finish, Top Ten Finish, etc.

As usual I've produced two form charts; the first based on the last six races and weighted in favour of recent results, and the second based on the entire 2013 season.

Here's the first form chart:

'Betting Profit' Chart For Winning Driver (Current Form):

Winning DriverProfit*Winning Bet
Sebastian Vettel3.974
Lewis Hamilton0.251
Nico Rosberg-1.671
Rest Of The Field-3.500

* Profit weighted in favour of recent races.  To be specific, I've calculated the returns based on a standard £1 bet on the same driver at each of the previous six Grand Prix and then applied the following multipliers; Britain 16.7%, Germany 33.3%, Hungary 50%, Belgium 66.7%, Italy 83.3% and Singapore 100%.

No prizes for guessing the best bet in the Winning Driver market, with Sebastian Vettel's dominance in recent Grand Prix having earned him a profit rating of 3.97.  

The second chart shows the 'Betting Profit' returns for the entire season...

'Betting Profit' Chart For Winning Driver (Entire Season):

Winning DriverProfit*Winning Bet
Sebastian Vettel7.817
Nico Rosberg5.002
Kimi Raikkonen-4.001
Fernando Alonso-4.752
Lewis Hamilton-5.501
Rest Of The Field-13.000

* As a reminder, the 'Profit' column shows the amount of profit you would have made if you'd placed a £1 bet on the same driver at every Grand Prix this season.  
Please note, even in the few days before first practise, the odds can sometimes vary slightly, so I've generally tried to take the odds a few days before each Grand Prix as soon as the market opened on SkyBet.

As you'd expect with 7 victories from 13 Grand Prix, Sebastian Vettel also heads the chart for the entire season.  Nico Rosberg is the only other driver to have made a profit thanks to his victories at Silverstone and Monaco, but on current form it would take a brave punter to bet against Vettel extending his winning record at the Korean Grand Prix.

Tomorrow I move onto the formula 1 form guide for the Podium Finish betting market.

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Related posts:
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 2 - Podium Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 3 - Top Six Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 4 - Top Ten Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 5 - Miscellaneous Bets
Korean Grand Prix: The Top Bets By The Form Guide

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