Formula 1 Betting By Numbers
As usual I've compiled two form guide charts; the first weighted in favour of recent results and the second based on the entire 2013 season.
Here's the first form chart...
'Betting Profit' Chart For Top Six Finish (Current Form):
| Top 6 Finish | Profit* | Winning Bet |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 14.00 | 1 |
| Felipe Massa | 0.97 | 3 |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.80 | 6 |
| Sebastian Vettel | 0.45 | 5 |
| Nico Rosberg | 0.40 | 4 |
| Jenson Button | -0.10 | 2 |
| Lewis Hamilton | -0.15 | 5 |
| Mark Webber | -0.53 | 4 |
| Kimi Raikkonen | -0.76 | 4 |
| Romain Grosjean | -1.63 | 2 |
| Rest Of The Field | -3.50 | 0 |
* Profit weighted in favour of recent races. To be specific, I've calculated the returns based on a standard £1 bet on the same driver at each of the previous six Grand Prix and then applied the following multipliers; Britain 16.7%, Germany 33.3%, Hungary 50%, Belgium 66.7%, Italy 83.3% and Singapore 100%.
Nico Hulkenberg tops the chart thanks to his fifth place finish at Monza when he was available at 20/1, but if you're looking for a safe bet then Fernando Alonso has been the stand out choice, having achieved a Top Six finish at every Grand Prix since Canada.
The second chart shows the figures for the entire season...
'Betting Profit' Chart For Top Six Finish (Entire Season):
| Top 6 Finish | Profit* | Winning Bet |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 8.00 | 1 |
| Jean-Eric Vergne | 4.00 | 1 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2.21 | 11 |
| Sebastian Vettel | 1.72 | 12 |
| Felipe Massa | 0.61 | 7 |
| Mark Webber | 0.56 | 9 |
| Nico Rosberg | 0.12 | 8 |
| Fernando Alonso | -0.56 | 10 |
| Jenson Button | -0.82 | 4 |
| Kimi Raikkonen | -2.06 | 8 |
| Romain Grosjean | -2.71 | 4 |
| Sergio Perez | -8.00 | 1 |
| Paul di Resta | -9.25 | 1 |
| Adrian Sutil | -10.25 | 1 |
| Rest Of The Field | -13.00 | 0 |
* Please note, even in the few days before first practise, the odds can sometimes vary slightly, so I've generally tried to take the odds a few days before each Grand Prix as soon as the market opened.
That's the Top Six statistics covered and tomorrow I'll be looking at the form guide for Top Ten Finish betting.
Follow F1Tips on twitter:
@F1TipsBlog
Related posts:
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 2 - Podium Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 4 - Top Ten Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 5 - Miscellaneous Bets
Korean Grand Prix: The Top Bets By The Form Guide
Legal note: This post contains affiliate banner links.
No comments:
Post a Comment