Formula 1 Betting By Numbers
Once again I've compiled two 'Betting Profit' charts; the first weighted in favour of recent results and the second based on the entire 2013 season.
Here's the first form chart...
'Betting Profit' Chart For Top Six Finish (Current Form):
| Top 6 Finish | Profit* | Winning Bet |
| Jean-Eric Vergne | 5.00 | 1 |
| Jenson Button | 1.46 | 2 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0.91 | 5 |
| Romain Grosjean | 0.70 | 2 |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.39 | 5 |
| Mark Webber | 0.37 | 5 |
| Kimi Raikkonen | 0.31 | 4 |
| Sebastian Vettel | -0.04 | 5 |
| Nico Rosberg | -0.94 | 4 |
| Felipe Massa | -2.09 | 2 |
| Adrian Sutil | -2.58 | 1 |
| Rest Of The Field | -3.50 | 0 |
* Profit weighted in favour of recent races. To be specific, I've calculated the returns based on a standard £1 bet on the same driver at each of the previous six Grand Prix and then applied the following multipliers; Spain 16.7%, Monaco 33.3%, Canada 50%, Britain 66.7%, Germany 83.3% and Hungary 100%.
Jean-Eric Vergne's sixth place finish at Canada is still keeping him at the top of the chart but if you're looking for a safe bet then Hamilton, Alonso, Webber and Vettel are better options as they've all been in the top six at all but one of the last six Grand Prix. Overall, seven drivers emerge with a positive profit rating in the Top Six Finish betting market, suggesting that this is a market worth considering if you're looking to minimise your risk.
The second chart shows the figures for the entire season...
'Betting Profit' Chart For Top Six Finish (Entire Season):
| Top 6 Finish | Profit* | Winning Bet |
| Jean-Eric Vergne | 7.00 | 1 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2.74 | 9 |
| Sebastian Vettel | 1.18 | 9 |
| Mark Webber | 0.80 | 7 |
| Romain Grosjean | 0.29 | 4 |
| Kimi Raikkonen | -0.36 | 7 |
| Jenson Button | -0.42 | 3 |
| Felipe Massa | -1.01 | 5 |
| Fernando Alonso | -1.26 | 7 |
| Nico Rosberg | -1.29 | 5 |
| Sergio Perez | -5.00 | 1 |
| Paul Di Resta | -6.25 | 1 |
| Adrian Sutil | -7.25 | 1 |
| Rest Of The Field | -10.00 | 0 |
* Please note, even in the few days before first practise, the odds can sometimes vary slightly, so I've generally tried to take the odds a few days before each Grand Prix as soon as the market opened.
That's the Top Six Finish betting market analysed and tomorrow I'll be moving onto the Top Ten Finish form guide.
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Other recent posts:
The Belgian Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver
The Belgian Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 2 - Podium Finish
Hungarian Grand Prix: Bet In Play Odds
Hungarian Qualifying: Bet In Play Odds
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