Saturday, 31 August 2013

The Italian Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver

Formula 1 Betting By Numbers

In the run-up to Monza, I've analysed the recent results to produce the latest form guide charts showing the most profitable formula 1 bets, and also the safest bets, so far this season.

Below you can find the charts for the 'Winning Driver' betting market and over the next few days I'll also be covering a few other betting markets such as Podium Finish, Top Ten Finish, etc.

As usual I've produced two form charts; the first based on the last six races and weighted in favour of recent results, and the second based on the entire 2013 season.

Here's the first form chart:

'Betting Profit' Chart For Winning Driver (Current Form):

Winning DriverProfit*Winning Bet
Nico Rosberg3.172
Lewis Hamilton2.751
Sebastian Vettel2.423
Rest Of The Field-3.500

* Profit weighted in favour of recent races.  To be specific, I've calculated the returns based on a standard £1 bet on the same driver at each of the previous six Grand Prix and then applied the following multipliers; Monaco 16.7%, Canada 33.3%, Britain 50%, Germany 66.7%, Hungary 83.3% and Belgium 100%.

As you can see, on current form there's not much to choose between Rosberg, Hamilton and Vettel.  Despite Vettel having had the greater number of recent victories, he's still only returned the third biggest profit overall due to his generally shorter odds.

The second chart shows the 'Betting Profit' returns for the entire season...

'Betting Profit' Chart For Winning Driver (Entire Season):

Winning DriverProfit*Winning Bet
Nico Rosberg7.002
Sebastian Vettel4.685
Kimi Raikkonen-2.001
Fernando Alonso-2.752
Lewis Hamilton-3.501
Rest Of The Field-11.000

* As a reminder, the 'Profit' column shows the amount of profit you would have made if you'd placed a £1 bet on the same driver at every Grand Prix this season.  
Please note, even in the few days before first practise, the odds can sometimes vary slightly, so I've generally tried to take the odds a few days before each Grand Prix as soon as the market opened on SkyBet.

Sebastian Vettel has claimed a victory almost every other race, so despite the short odds available, he's been by far the best bet for anyone looking to minimise their risk.

In the run-up to Monza I'll be covering a few other popular betting markets and next up is the Podium Finish market.

Other recents posts:
Belgian Qualifying: Bet In Play Odds
Betting With Points To Win Free Bets And Cash Prizes

Follow F1Tips on twitter:

Pretty Green 468x60

No comments:

Post a Comment