Hungarian Grand Prix: Round-Up

"If we can be quick here in a race with these track temperatures, then I'm very hopeful that we can be competitive everywhere else."  ...Lewis Hamilton

After qualifying Lewis Hamilton was declaring that it would be a miracle if he won the race, which just shows that you should never pay much attention to what drivers say!  Tyres never looked to be an issue at all, which is an encouraging sign for Mercedes as we head into the second half of the season.

When it came to my tips, it was a case of too many near misses costing me on too many occasions.  As previously mentioned, I'm going to be keeping a running tally of how my tips perform, so here's the report on how things turned out...

Pre Qualifying Tips

Shorter Priced Bets:

Podium:
10 points on Fernando Alonso at 2.0 (SkyBet) - LOSS
Around about lap 20, Alonso's 'bet in play' odds to win the race came down to 9.0 and he was looking in the mix for a podium.   However, by the midway stage of the race it was clear that Alonso was losing ground and he eventually finished in 5th position, 19 seconds behind Vettel's podium time.

Qualifying Match Bets:
10 point accumulator on:  (Bet365) - WIN 19 points
Lewis Hamilton V Nico Rosberg - Lewis Hamilton at 1.57
Sebastian Vettel V Mark Webber - Sebastian Vettel at 1.2

Number Of Classified Finishers:
10 points on Over 18.5 Finishers at 1.67 (Sporting Bet) - WIN 17 points
Luckily, Nico Rosberg's retirement came after he had completed 90% of the Grand Prix which meant there were 19 classified finishers, although I'm not so sure that Nico will consider it lucky!

Making an overall return of 36 points from 30 points and therefore my ongoing total now stands at 106 points.

Taking A Risk/Longer Priced Bets: 

Top Six Finish:
10 points on Jenson Button at 3.25 (Bet Victor, Coral) - LOSS
This was my first near miss with Grosjean's post-race 20 second penalty not being quite enough to elevate Jenson Button up a position.  Button was eventually classified 1.6 seconds behind Grosjean and therefore he remained in 7th place.

Qualify On Front Row:
5 points on Romain Grosjean at 13.0 (SkyBet) - LOSS
This was another near miss with Grosjean having an impressive qualifying session but not quite impressive enough, as he lined up 3rd on the grid, a tenth and a half behind Vettel in 2nd place.

Qualifying Winning Margin:
10 points on Under 0.15 Seconds at 2.75 (Bet365) - WIN 28 points
Despite an unremarkable start to the weekend in P1 and P2, Lewis Hamilton found his form when it mattered once again in Q3 with a lap which gave him his third consecutive pole position.  Sebastian Vettel had to settle for second on the grid with a time which was only 38 thousands of a second slower.

Making an overall return of 28 points from 25 points and therefore my ongoing total now stands at 103 points.

Post Qualifying Tips

Shorter Priced Bets:

Top Ten Finish:
10 points on Nico Hulkenberg at 2.75 (Bet Fred) - LOSS
Yet another near miss as Nico Hulkenberg eventually crossed the line in 11th place and therefore just missed out on a points scoring finish.

Lap 1 Retirements:
20 points on Lap 1 Retrements - Nil at 1.5 (SkyBet, Paddy Power) - WIN 30 points
The most reliable bet of the season came up trumps again with another retirement-free first lap, and it wasn't until lap 19 when we saw the first retirement of the race.

Winning Margin:
10 points on Under 6.5 Seconds at 1.85 (William Hill) - LOSS
Lewis had a comfortable margin in the closing stages and unfortunately for my bet he maintained that gap until the chequered flag, eventually finishing 10.9 seconds ahead of Kimi Raikkonen in second place.

Making an overall return of 30 points from 40 points and therefore my ongoing total now stands at 90 points.

Taking A Risk/Longer Priced Bets:

Winning Driver:
5 points eachway* (10 points in total) on Romain Grosjean at 7.0 - LOSS
Grosjean had a strong start and for a brief moment on lap 13 SkyBet even had him priced as the 'bet in play' favourite at odds of 2.5.  Incidents with Button and Massa, however, earned Romain a drive through and a post-race penalty, ruining what could have been a possible eachway return.

Not To Be Classified:
10 points on Jean-Eric Vergne at 3.75 (Bet Victor) - LOSS
Before Hungary, Jean-Eric Vergne had suffered 4 DNFs from the previous 6 Grand Prix, but there were no reliability issues this weekend and Vergne made it to the chequered flag in 12th position.

Match Bets:
10 point accumulator on:   (Bet 365) - LOSS
Fernando Alonso V Lewis Hamilton - Fernando Alonso - 1.61
Pastor Maldonado V Valtteri Bottas - Pastor Maldonado - 1.83
Charles Pic V Giedo van der Garde - Charles Pic - 1.25

Making an overall return of 0 points from 30 points and therefore my onging total now stands at 70 points.


. . . . . . . .


We now have a massive four week gap until Spa, so to help me cope with my formula 1 withdrawal symptoms I'll be featuring a couple of posts on the 'bet in play' odds from Hungary for qualifying and the race.  As usual I'll then be taking a look at the form guide for the Belguim Grand Prix and analysing recent results to see which drivers have been the most profitable bets in various formula 1 betting categories.


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