Formula 1 Betting By Numbers
As usual I'm going to round-off my review of the form guide by taking a look at a selection of miscellaneous formula 1 betting markets such as fastest lap, fastest qualifier, etc.
The following form guide charts charts are based on the last six races and I've weighted things in favour of recent results by applying the following multipliers for each Grand Prix: Bahrain 16.7%, Spain 33.3%, Monaco 50%, Canada 66.7%, Britain 83.3% and Germany 100%.
Fastest Lap:
First of all, here's the 'Betting Profit' chart for the fastest lap:Fastest Lap | Profit* | Winning Bet |
Esteban Gutierrez | 30.17 | 1 |
Mark Webber | 11.17 | 2 |
Fernando Alonso | 6.50 | 1 |
Sebastian Vettel | -0.88 | 2 |
Rest Of The Field | -3.50 | 0 |
As you can see this can be a tricky market to predict but it's perhaps worth a dabble if you're looking for the prospect of greater returns and don't mind a considerably greater risk.
Fastest Qualifier:
Next up is the 'Betting Profit' chart for 'Pole Position' or 'Fastest Q3 Qualifying Time' as some bookies refer to it:Fastest Qualifier | Profit | Winning Bet |
Nico Rosberg | 3.17 | 3 |
Lewis Hamilton | 2.05 | 2 |
Sebastian Vettel | -1.17 | 1 |
Rest Of The Field | -3.50 | 0 |
Mercedes are the team in form when it comes to qualifying with only Sebastian Vettel having managed to break their stranglehold on pole position.
Winning Margin:
Most bookies also offer a market on the Winning Margin of each Grand Prix and at SkyBet they go with 6 seconds as the dividing line:Winning Margin | Profit | Winning Bet |
Under 6 seconds | 0.93 | 3 |
6 seconds or more | -1.45 | 3 |
Early in the season we had very few close finishes and therefore '6 seconds or more' was definitely the bet to go for. However, with three wins apiece from the last six Grand Prix the 'Winning Margin' market is getting trickier to predict and this is maybe one bet to avoid for the moment.
Safety Car:
Here's the current results for betting on the Safety Car:Safety Car | Profit | Winning Bet |
Yes | 1.45 | 3 |
No | -1.17 | 3 |
At the last three Grand Prix the bookies have got this one wrong with the higher priced bet in the 'Safety Car' market being a winner each time out at Montreal, Silverstone and the Nurburgring.
Winning Team:
Finally, here's the 'Betting Profit' chart for Winning Team:Winning Team | Profit | Winning Bet |
Mercedes | 1.63 | 2 |
Red Bull | 0.25 | 3 |
Ferrari | -1.00 | 1 |
Rest Of The Field | -5.20 | 0 |
. . . . . . . .
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Other recent posts:
The Hungarian Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver
The Hungarian Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 2 - Podium Finish
The Hungarian Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 4 - Top Ten Finish
German Grand Prix: Bet In Play Odds
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