Wednesday, 22 May 2013

Monaco Grand Prix - The Top Bets By The Form Guide

Formula 1 Betting By Numbers

Before each Grand Prix I make a set of predictions before and after qualifying and then compare which set of tips perform best.  For the last two races, I've also analysed the performance of the drivers during 2013 to see which drivers have been the most profitable bets, and also the safest bets, in some of the most popular formula 1 betting markets.

You can check out more detailed results in some of my posts over the last week, but to summarise, based on the statistics from the first five Grand Prix of the season, the best bets so far have been...

Most Profitable Bets:

Winning Driver - Kimi Raikkonen (80% profit / £9 return from £5 staked)
Podium Finish - Romain Grosjean (140% profit / £12 return from £5 staked)
Top Six Finish - Felipe Massa (45.2% profit / £7.26 return from £5 staked)
Top Ten Finish - Paul Di Resta (41.2% profit / £7.06 return from £5 staked)

N.B. The above figures are based on the return you would have received if you placed a £1 bet on the same driver at every Grand Prix of the season.

Safest Bets:

Winning Driver - Fernando Alonso (40% success rate)
Podium Finish - Kimi Raikkonen (80% success rate)
Top Six Finish - Sebastian Vettel (100% success rate)
Top Ten Finish - Kimi Raikkonen (100% success rate)

N.B. When two or more drivers have achieved an equal success rate, I have listed the driver who would have returned the biggest profit.

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As financial traders like to say, 'Past performance is no guarantee of future success,' and of course you also have to consider that as the season progresses and trends emerge, the bookies will no doubt be offering skinnier odds than usual on the above drivers.  Bear in mind also that Monaco has its own unique characteristics as a race track, so previous results may not have quite as much relevance as at some circuits on the calendar.

You can find a more detailed analysis of the various formula 1 betting markets at the following links:
The Form Guide After Spain: Part 1 - Winning Driver / Podium Finish
The Form Guide After Spain: Part 2 - Top Six Finish
The Form Guide After Spain: Part 3 - Top Ten Finish
The Form Guide After Spain: Part 4 - Miscellaneous Bets

If you reduce formula 1 to no more than a bunch of statistics then it takes the fun out of things, so as usual I'll also be making my own set of tips before and after qualifying for the Monaco Grand Prix and then analysing how my tips get on compared to the form guide.

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SkyBet are currently offering a completely free £10 bet for any new customer who signs up for a new SkyBet account, so if you fancy a free bet on the Monaco Grand Prix then check out the link below:


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