Saturday, 29 June 2013

The British Grand Prix: Post-Qualifying Tips

"I don't know if Lewis found a short cut or he just found something special here. It was a phenomenal lap." ...Sebastian Vettel

Once again Mercedes demonstrated their exceptional one lap pace but a big question mark still remains as to whether they can maintain that pace in the race, with the bookies making Red Bull and Sebastian Vettel in particular the favourites.

Onto my tips and as usual I've split my predictions into shorter priced bets and also a selection of higher priced riskier bets.  My formula 1 tips made a decent return at Spain and Monaco, but Canada was a disappointing weekend as my form hit a rough patch, so treat the following tips with caution.

Shorter Priced Bets:

Race Winner:
20 points on Sebastian Vettel at 2.3 (Sporting Bet)
Lewis Hamilton's lap for pole was described by Vettel as phenomenal but when it comes to race pace most of the experts are still expecting Red Bull to have the edge.  Sebastian Vettel may therefore find that the biggest threat to him for the victory comes from his team-mate Mark Webber.

Podium Finish:
20 points on Mark Webber at 2.1 (32Red)
Mark always goes well at Silverstone and was less than a hundredth of a second behind his team-mate Sebastian Vettel in qualifying, so he looks a decent bet to have a strong race tomorrow and if, as you'd expect, the Red Bull manages its tyres better than the Mercedes then you would have to fancy Webber to achieve his third podium of the season.

Lap 1 Retirements:
20 points on Lap 1 Retirements - None at 1.53 (SkyBet, Paddy Power)
This has been a solid bet all season and if you'd bet £1 on 'Lap 1 Retirements - None' at every Grand Prix of the year you'd currently be £4.45 in profit.

Winning Margin:
20 points on 6 Seconds Or More at 1.73 (SkyBet)
The average winning margin in 2013 has been 9.04 seconds and only Malaysia and Monaco have seen races won by less than 6 seconds.

Safety Car:
20 points on Safety Car - No at 1.57 (Bet Victor, William Hill)
The trend this year has been for relatively safe driving, with Monaco being the only race to produce a safety car so far this season.

Ferrari Store Spring/Summer 2013

Taking A Risk/Longer Priced Bets:

Top Six Finish:
20 points on Daniel Ricciardo at 3.0 (Bwin)
Toro Rosso are a team on the up at the moment, so although the top ten looks to be very competitive I'm going to go for Daniel Ricciardo to repeat the performance of his team-mate Jean-Eric Vergne at Canada and claim another top six finish for Toro Rosso.

Double Points Finish:
20 points on Toro Rosso at 3.4 (Paddy Power)
Jean-Eric Vergne wasn't able to match the qualifying performance of his team-mate Daniel Ricciardo, but he nevertheless goes into this race in good form.  And with Mark Webber announcing his retirement from formula 1, both Ricciardo and Vergne will be pleased that the pace of the Toro Rosso so far this weekend suggests both drivers may have the chance to show Christian Horner what they're capable of.

First Car Retirement:
20 points on Caterham at 7.5 (BetVictor)
First retirement is always unpredictable so this is a speculative bet, but going on current form Caterham have suffered the first retirement at the last two Grand Prix.  Giedo Van Der Garde was also an early retirement at the Spanish Grand Prix so given their reliability issues you can see why most bookies make Caterham the favourites to be the first retirement once again.

Double Podium Finish:
20 points on Red Bull at 2.75 (Paddy Power)

Match Bets:
20 point accumulator on:  (SkyBet)
Lewis Hamilton V Nico Rosberg - Lewis Hamilton at 1.67
Fernando Alonso V Kimi Raikkonen - Fernando Alonso at 1.73
Jules Bianchi V Max Chilton - Jues Bianchi at 1.29
Charles Pic V Giedo Van Der Garde - Charles Pic at 1.29

As usual I'll report back after the weekend on how things turned out.  And if anyone else has any formula 1 predictions then feel free to leave a comment.

You can find the best bets so far this season by the form guide at the following link:
British Grand Prix: The Top Bets By The Form Guide

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Other recent posts:
The British Grand Prix: Pre-Qualifying Tips
The British Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 3 - Top Six Finish
The British Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 5 - Miscellaneous Bets
Betting With Points To Win Free Bets And Cash Prizes

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