Formula 1 Betting By Numbers
The first chart shows the profit you would have made if you'd placed a £1 bet on the same driver at each Grand Prix throughout 2013 for a top six finish...
Standard 'Betting Profit' Chart For A Top Six Finish:
| Top 6 Finish | Profit* | Winning Bet |
| Jean-Eric Vergne | 10.00 | 1 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 1.85 | 6 |
| Sebastian Vettel | 1.80 | 7 |
| Mark Webber | 1.11 | 5 |
| Felipe Massa | 0.26 | 4 |
| Nico Rosberg | 0.18 | 4 |
| Romain Grosjean | -1.37 | 2 |
| Kimi Raikkonen | -1.70 | 4 |
| Fernando Alonso | -1.96 | 4 |
| Sergio Perez | -2.00 | 1 |
| Jenson Button | -2.42 | 2 |
| Paul Di Resta | -3.25 | 1 |
| Adrian Sutil | -4.25 | 1 |
| Rest Of The Field | -7.00 | 0 |
* Please note, even in the few days before first practise, the odds can sometimes vary slightly, so I've generally tried to take the odds a few days before each Grand Prix as soon as the market opened on SkyBet.
Thanks to his odds of 17.0, Jean-Eric Vergne's excellent drive at Canada means that he jumps straight in as the most profitable top six bet of 2013. Toro Rosso are a team who look to have made improvements this year, and they showed glimpses of their potential at China when Daniel Ricciardo finished 7th, so they're worth keeping an eye on, although you suspect that their odds may come down slightly at future Grand Prix.
If you're looking for a safe bet, however, rather than generous returns, then Sebastian Vettel remains the safest bet in this market having finished in the top six at every race of the season. Lewis Hamilton isn't far behind with 6 top six finishes from seven races and the Spanish Grand Prix being the only race where he missed out on a top six finish.
The second chart is weighted in favour of more recent races and for the benefit of anyone new to F1 Tips blog, I've applied the following multipliers for each Grand Prix; Malaysia 16.7%, China 33.3%, Bahrain 50%, Spain 66.7%, Monaco 83.3% and for Canada 100%:
| Top 6 Finish | Profit |
| Jean-Eric Vergne | 13.50 |
| Sebastian Vettel | 0.91 |
| Nico Rosberg | 0.88 |
| Mark Webber | 0.81 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0.53 |
| Jenson Button | -0.78 |
| Sergio Perez | -1.00 |
| Fernando Alonso | -1.06 |
| Adrian Sutil | -1.21 |
| Romain Grosjean | -1.60 |
| Kimi Raikkonen | -1.62 |
| Paul Di Resta | -1.63 |
| Felipe Massa | -1.67 |
| Rest Of The Field | -3.50 |
Not surprisingly, Jean-Eric Vergne remains at the top of the chart, with the Red Bull and Mercedes drivers being the drivers to go for if you're after less risk at the cost of lower returns.
Next up is the Top Ten betting market and I'll be covering that in the next few days.
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Other recent posts:
The British Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver
The British Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 2 - Podium Finish
Canadian Grand Prix: Bet In Play Odds
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