Monday, 23 September 2013

Singapore Grand Prix: Tips Round-Up

"We want to fight for the championship but we have a 60 point deficit and we need to be very, very lucky." ...Fernando Alonso

With seven laps to go my post qualifying tips were looking at a clean sweep of seven out of seven successful winning bets.  However, late troubles in the race for Paul Di Resta and Mark Webber put paid to a perfect set of tips, but overall I was still fairly pleased with five out of seven winning tips.

On the championship front Sebastian Vettel is looking ever more dominant thanks to his fifth victory in seven races, and unless he suffers at least a couple of DNFs in the final 6 Grand Prix of 2013 then the championship battle is pretty much over.  The best price you can get now on Vettel to claim his fourth successive title is 1.01 from Ladbrokes and Bwin, and I think that says it all really.

Anyway, here's a round-up of how my tips got on...

Post Qualifying Tips:

Shorter Priced Bets:

Podium Finish:
10 points on Fernando Alonso at 2.75 (Paddy Power) - WIN 28 points
Fernando continues to be a strong podium bet, with his third successive second place finish.  His three latest podiums have been achieved from 9th, 5th and 7th on the grid, suggesting that after qualifying (when Alonso's podium odds generally drift out slightly) is the best time to back Alonso for a top three finish.

Total Classified Finishers:
10 points on Over 17.5 at 2.1 (William Hill) - WIN 18 points
This was a winning bet but also a missed opportunity as if I'd gone for 'Total Classified Finishers - Over 18.5' which was available from SkyBet, I could have increased my winning odds to 2.75.  For the record, that's now seven consecutive Grand Prix where SkyBet's 'Total Classified Finishers - Over/Under' market has produce a winning 'Over' result.

Lap 1 Retirements:
10 points on 'Lap 1 Retirements - None' at 1.65 (Bwin) - WIN 17 points
After the blip at Monza, normal service was resumed with the opening lap at Singapore following the overwhelming trend this season and producing no retirements.

Match Bet - Rosberg V Webber:
10 points on Mark Webber at 2.1 (Paddy Power) - LOSS
Mark was looking set to finish one place ahead of Nico Rosberg in a probable fourth place until an engine problem right at the end ruined his race.

Making an overall return of 63 points from 40 points and therefore my ongoing total now stands at 107 points.

Taking A Risk/Longer Priced Bets:

Top Six Finish:
10 points on Kim Raikkonen at 3.0  (Paddy Power) - WIN 30 points
The timing of the safety car played into Kimi's hands but he certainly maximised the opportunity with an unexpected podium finish.  So although this was a winning bet it was also a missed opportunity for even greater returns.

Points Finish:
10 points on Paul di Resta at 2.88 (Coral, William Hill, Stan James) - LOSS
Paul di Resta was driving an impressive race and looked on course to sneak into the final points scoring position until he crashed out on lap 55.

Match Bet - Grosjean V Massa:
10 points on Felipe Massa at 3.2 (Paddy Power) - WIN 32 points

Making an overall return of 62 points from 30 points and therefore my ongoing total now stands at 53 points.

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Pre Qualifying Tips:

Shorter Priced Bets:

Double Points Finish:
10 points on Red Bull at 1.44 (Paddy Power) - LOSS
Mark Webber's late retirement cost me once again with Singapore being only the third Grand Prix of the season when Red Bull failed to record a double points scoring finish.

Qualifying Winning Margin:
10 points on Over 0.25 Seconds at 1.91 (SkyBet) - LOSS
At certain stages of the weekend Sebastian Vettel was looking very dominant but in the end he took pole from Nico Rosberg by less than a tenth of a second.

Safety Car:
20 points on 'Safety Car - Yes' at 1.3 (Unibet) - WIN 26 points
Before yesterday's race we had seen a safety car at every previous Singapore Grand Prix and that record continued thanks to Daniel Ricciardo's accident on lap 24.

Making an overall return of 26 points from 40 points and therefore my ongoing total now stands at 60 points.

Taking A Risk/Longer Priced Bets:

Qualifying Match Bet - Jenson Button V Sergio Perez:
10 points on Sergio Perez at 2.87 (Paddy Power) - LOSS

Not To Finish:
10 points on Jean-Eric Vergne at 3.0 (Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power) - LOSS

Top Six Finish:
10 points on Jenson Button at 3.25 (Bet365) - LOSS
Jenson Button was running third until the closing stages, but his strategy of running 35 laps on his final set of tyres ultimately proved to be too ambitious and in the closing laps he slipped down the order and eventually finished in seventh position.

Making an overall return of 0 points from 30 points and therefore my ongoing total now stands at 41 points.

In the end it was an reasonable weekend, but also a frustrating one with a number of bets, so I'll see how I go at Korea.

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1 comment:

  1. This season the best driver is Sebastian Vettel, I hope he wil win the season again.