Saturday, 21 September 2013

The Singapore Grand Prix: Post-Qualifying Tips

“It was a strange feeling when you see the others making their final attempt and there’s nothing you can do. " ...Sebastian Vettel

Yesterday I made my pre-qualifying tips for the Singapore Grand Prix and now that we know the starting grid, it's time to make another set of predictions.

There weren't a lot of bets which stood out as instantly appealing, but I've picked out a few, so here are my post-qualifying predictions for the Singapore Grand Prix...

Shorter Priced Bets:

Podium Finish:
10 points on Fernando Alonso at 2.75 (Paddy Power)
Alonso has a decent record here, winning in 2008* and 2010 and finishing on the podium at all but one of the five previous Singapore Grand Prix.  He also came from 9th and 5th on the grid to finish 2nd at each of the previous two Grand Prix of 2013, so starting from 7th doesn't necessarily rule him out of another podium.  It's trickier to overtake at Singapore than at Spa and Monza obviously, but strategy can come into play, and the safety car has been deployed at least once at every Singapore Grand Prix, so pitstop timing could be key. 

* Admittedly thanks to a little help from 'Crashgate'.

Total Classified Finishers:
10 points on Over 17.5 at 2.1 (William Hill)
This season has seen a comparitively low attrition rate and the previous six Grand Prix have seen SkyBet's 'Total Classified Finishers - Over/Under' market produce a winning 'Over' result every time.  I'm going for that trend to continue but given the tendencey for Singapore to produce more retirements than other races, I'm therefore going to play it cagey and go instead with WIlliam Hill who set the dividing line at 17.5 classified finishers as opposed to SkyBet's 18.5 classified finishers.

Lap 1 Retirements:
10 points on 'Lap 1 Retirements - None' at 1.65 (Bwin)
This bet let me down at Monza so I'm going to go a little more cautious with my stake this time.  However, in general this season we've seen a trend for safe driving on the opening lap, and the five previous Singapore Grand Prix have seen only one lap 1 retirement, so once again I'm going to go for a small punt on a clean first lap.

Match Bet - Rosberg V Webber:
10 points on Mark Webber at 2.1 (Paddy Power)

Taking A Risk/Longer Priced Bets:

Top Six Finish:
10 points on Kimi Raikkonen at 3.0  (Paddy Power)
I'm gambling on Kimi's fitness with this bet as it will depend on Raikkonen recovering from his back problems sufficiently to drive at closer to his maximum.  However, when you consider that Romain Grosjean qualified only two tenths of a second behind Vettel's pole lap, there certainly looks to be sufficient speed in the Lotus for Raikkonen to potentially improve considerably upon his grid position.

Points Finish:
10 points on Paul di Resta at 2.88 (Coral, William Hill, Stan James)
Paul di Resta had a disappointing qualifying session but seems to think that Force India have much better pace over long runs, with low tyre degradation.  Singapore can be a tricky circuit to overtake at though, so Paul may need to get his race strategy right if this is going to be a winning bet.

Match Bet - Grosjean V Massa:
10 points on Felipe Massa at 3.2 (Paddy Power)

If anyone else has any predictions of their own then feel free to leave a comment.

As usual I'll report back after the Grand Prix on how things turned out.

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If you want to check out my pre-qualifying tips you can find them at the following link:
The Singapore Grand Prix: Pre-Qualifying Tips

If you prefer to check the statistics before placing your bets then you can find the latest formula 1 form guide at the following link:
Singapore Grand Prix: The Top Bets By The Form Guide

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Footnote:  All odds were correct at time of publication but are subject to change.

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